February 4, 2010: BioModel demonstrated new GLM-report to students and scientists in NAUKMA (Kyiv) during a climate-change-round-table session. The presentation was titled as ‘GLM-scenarios of animal-plant-areal fluctuation by 2050 due to expected climate change (Ukraine, Western Europe)’ As it turned
Interesting archival sources – for students: Grodzynsky M., Romanenko V., Shelyag Sosonko Yu. The Concept of Ecological Network for Transfrontier Territories of the Dnipro Basin/Informational Bulletin of UNDP GEF Dnipro Basin Environment Programme.– №4/2003. –pp. 11-12. (Rus.) – see a
Yellow Water-lily (Nuphae lutea) habitats were reconstructed with historical, archived publications and with GIS- and RS data. Main causes of change include ‘land use’ and ‘climate’. More details – http://biomodel.org.ua/?page_id
BioModel updated changaes of natural habitats of Wood Anemone – Anemone nemorosa L. – in GLOBIO Ukraine Region (and outskirts). Sources and references TBD. Detailed animated story – http://biomodel.org.ua/?page_id
Click on picture to find details
The map shows appearance of climatic suitable territories of the species by 2050 (which is actually steppe and potentially can’t be acceptable for Fagus sylvatica survival by other options). http://biomodel.org.ua/?page_id=240. Note. Climatic modelling does not include any other factors. A final map’s reliability will require corrections
Beech areal changes for East Europe was modelled by GLM. Historical and expected distribution ‘movie’ available. http://biomodel.org.ua/?page_id
Beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) habitat changes modelling result demonstrates: i) possible enlargement (restoration) of the species natural habitats – Scenario #1, and ii) possible artificial enlargement of the habitats to the East ‘for cost’ of settlements i.e. its green zones
